Tutorial

Tutorial: Security Explorer

September 19, 2022

Note: Specific investments described herein do not represent all investment decisions made by Global Predictions. The reader should not assume that investment decisions identified and discussed were or will be profitable. Specific investment advice references provided herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not necessarily representative of investments that will be made in the future.

Learn how to take advantage of the PortfolioPilot Security Explorer, a helpful tool to drill in to specific securities information for curious users that want to get as close to the bare metal as possible. Security Explorer is one of the tools in the Market Insights section of the platform, which you can navigate to from the top menu.

Expansive universe of securities

In order to power the Global Predictions Recommendation Engine, Knowledge Graph, and World Monitoring System, Global Predictions pulls in and processes a large set of 100,000s of macroeconomic series, linking them to over 50,000 securities. These securities include individual equities, ETFs, Mutual Funds, and currencies (including many cryptocurrencies).

The Companies selection dropdown allows you to choose the security you're looking for to retrieve more information.

Select from a large and growing list of securities

Non-obvious, insightful securities details

We have put together a relatively minimal set of the most important and non-obvious information that is useful for securities research. These factors are produced using Global Predictions core technology and helps power selection, recommendations, and other insights across the platform.

Detailed forecast:

This section shows information about how the individual forecasts are created, combined from a set of contributing forecasts. In the case of Apple, shown in the screenshot below, the expected return forecast is a combination of:

1) Market beta forecast for Apple (driven by risk and naive expectations with no alpha assumptions)

2) Total US stock market forecast

3) US Technology index forecast

4) S&P 500 index forecast

5) Proprietary Stats+ML forecast

The section also highlights other macro drivers that influence the forecasts and market moves of the security in question.

Transparent breakdown of how Global Predictions forecasts are assembled

Macro factor sensitivities:

The macro factor sensitivities represent the degree to which the security's return will be influenced by an upside or downside surprise to the given macroeconomic factor. These can be positive or negative indicating the influence by the macro market, it is the magnitude that determines whether its high or low impact. For reference, 0 to 3 is low, 3 to 7 is medium, and 7+ is high impact.

Macro factor sensitivity, an important metric of security selection

Security Explorer is a great addition to your investment research toolkit.

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General Disclosures
This website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer of investment management or investment advisory services by Global Predictions, Inc. (“Global Predictions”), and may not be relied upon in connection with any offer or sale of securities or other assets. Nothing on the website is intended to be, and you should not consider anything on the website to be, investment, accounting, tax or legal advice.

The contents of the website may contain forward-looking statements that are based on management’s beliefs, assumptions, current expectations, estimates, and projections about the financial industry, the economy, Global Predictions itself or its investments. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of the underlying expected actions or future performance and future results may differ significantly from those anticipated by the forward-looking statements. Therefore, actual results and outcomes may materially differ from what may be expressed or forecasted in such forward-looking statements. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Inherent in any investment is the risk of loss. Further, past performance is not indicative of future results.

Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training.